Thursday July 29th 2021 Justin Coslor

Coin Toss Decision Strategy in regard to the strategy of using the same 
amount per trade or decision

In a coin toss you either guess correctly or you guess incorrectly 
knowing that with an attempted "prediction" reactions come from 
expectations. If you have a daily ration of resources and you decide to 
always use that amount split into a certain amount of decisions such as 
guess attempts or trades per day then with one guess risking a base 
decision amount you can keep the amount plus the profit if you guess 
correctly otherwise you use up one of your guesses and lose that unit 
but if you guess (or wager) the base amount twice and guess incorrectly 
you lose that guess (or base amount) or you succeed and keep the profit 
from guess (or trade) number two thereby using up two of your guesses 
and profiting either none or one amount or two amounts depending on 
whether you lost your first guess (or trade). If you guess again using 
three guesses worth of amounts you profit three times the original base 
amount if successful and profit more than you put in total having used 
six guesses worth of base amounts or at worst you have lost six 
opportunities from your daily ration and you should save your remaining 
rations for the day, some to add to the next days rations and some of 
that should be consumed and some should be saved in a safe place and 
some should be donated and some should be used the next day to be able 
to increase your third trade (or third guess) on that next day if the 
amount consumed = the amount saved in a safe place = the amount donated 
= the amount used to increase the third guess (or trade) the next day = 
the base first guess amount, then you would need a daily ration of ten 
base amounts every day. Using more than three guess amounts per day 
makes the losses too divided (risked unwisely) because the amounts grow 
exponentially (is that the correct operand?) and by the fourth guess (if 
amounts are exponential) it would be 1^2 + 2^2 + 3^2 + 4^2 = 30 times 
more dangerous (the exponent has two dimensions such as forward and 
vertical) than the first guess of one tenth of the days ration of a 
daily ration of ten equal guess amounts. However, in a day, if you lost 
your first two situations you have used up a running total of three 
amounts in two guesses, though it could be worse if your profit is not 
consistantly doubled then tripled then in the danger zone thought to be 
quadrupled at 30 times the risk of losing your whole days ration minus 
daily purposes. Remember to avoid competition behavior because that 
endangers the life boat.